Chapter Four · failure evidence

What Surrogate & Reduced-Order Modeling got wrong, from 72 dissertations

The records document practical breakdowns and trade-offs encountered when developing surrogate models and reduced-order approximations for complex physical simulations. Practitioners frequently face severe accuracy degradation from dimensional scaling, nonlinear structural kinematics, multi-fidelity discrepancies, and excessive computational overhead. These records come from PhD theses at 17 institutions, 2021 to 2026. Each links to its thesis. They were extracted by language models reading the full text, so treat each as a lead to read, not a verdict.

Gaussian process surrogates struggle with high-dimensional scaling and hyperparameter optimization

19 theses · 9 institutions

Gaussian process and Kriging models frequently suffer from flat likelihood surfaces, hyperparameter instability, and cubic computational scaling when applied to high-dimensional problems. Smoothness assumptions and poor hyperparameter estimation also lead to washed-out predictions, diffuse posteriors, and failure on non-smooth or step-like response surfaces.

Lost to a baseline

Gaussian Process buckling surrogates without affine transforms produced heavier wingbox designs (709.37 kg vs 665.47 kg at nominal span) than smeared closed-form solutions in initial quasi-coupled optimizations.

Data-Driven and GPU-Accelerated Computational Methods for High-Fidelity Aerostructural Design · Georgia Tech

Lost to a baseline

Kriging surrogate was outperformed in coefficient of determination by ANN across increasing low-fidelity training sample sizes.

Metamodel-based uncertainty quantification for the mechanical behavior of braided composites · Leibniz Universität Hannover Repository

Considered and rejected

Considered and rejected: Rejected surrogate Kriging/Gaussian Process optimization for the bi-level EV problem, opting instead for direct regression or deep neural network surrogates.

Enabling Artificial Intelligence Techniques at Operational Level · IRIS - POLITO - prod

Tried and failed

Biased surrogate model in Gaussian process prior mean applied to High-dimensional simulation-based optimization. Outcome: worse than baseline. Reason: Inaccurate or biased prior mean models severely mislead exploration and degrade optimization performance.

Exploration and Exploitation Techniques for High-Dimensional Simulation-Based Optimization Problems in Urban Transportation · MIT

Tried and failed

per-iteration Gaussian process hyperparameter MLE updates applied to high-dimensional Bayesian optimization. Outcome: unstable. Reason: hyperparameter estimates fluctuated heavily in high dimensions, degrading surrogate quality and optimization performance

Exploration and Exploitation Techniques for High-Dimensional Simulation-Based Optimization Problems in Urban Transportation · MIT

Tried and failed

Gaussian process as surrogate forward model applied to offline model-based optimization. Outcome: worse than baseline. Reason: underperformed compared to neural network surrogate models on top-1 evaluation tasks

Distributionally Robust Machine Intelligence for Medicine and Scientific Discovery · Penn

Tried and failed

Gaussian approximation of deep Gaussian process posteriors applied to Bayesian optimization uncertainty estimation. Reason: yielded poor uncertainty quantification and inaccurate variance estimates for acquisition functions

Physics-informed Machine Learning for Digital Twins of Metal Additive Manufacturing · Virginia Tech

Tried and failed

multi-output Gaussian process on concatenated PCA representations applied to cyclic curve surrogate modeling. Outcome: did not converge. Reason: numerous local maxima in high-dimensional likelihood space hindered optimization

Bayesian Protocols for the Assessment of Model Uncertainties in Physics-Based Models at Multiple Length Scales · Georgia Tech

Tried and failed

local maximum likelihood lengthscale optimization in high dimensions applied to high-dimensional regression with local Gaussian processes. Outcome: worse than baseline. Reason: Flat likelihood surfaces led to degenerate lengthscales and washed-out surrogate predictions.

Efficient computer experiment designs for Gaussian process surrogates · Virginia Tech

Tried and failed

Gaussian process regression with hyperparameter priors applied to multivariate engineering surrogate modeling. Outcome: worse than baseline. Reason: Hyperprior bias shifted lengthscales toward overly nonlinear regimes, degrading predictive accuracy.

Uncertainty quantification and management in multidisciplinary design optimisation. · Cranfield

Tried and failed

Gaussian process with fully Bayesian hyperparameter integration applied to aeroelastic gust response surrogate modeling. Reason: Hyperparameter posterior integration yielded overly diffuse predictive distributions with excessive variance

Uncertainty quantification and management in multidisciplinary design optimisation. · Cranfield

Tried and failed

Gaussian process surrogates in Bayesian optimization applied to non-smooth step-like response landscapes. Outcome: did not generalise. Reason: smoothness assumptions caused poor fitting and high false-positive rates on step-like data

Improving supervised machine learning for materials science · MIT

Tried and failed

Gaussian process regression hyperparameter optimization with default iterations applied to constitutive parameter surrogate modeling. Outcome: did not converge. Reason: Default maximum iterations in scipy.optimize.minimize were insufficient for marginal likelihood optimization

Time-dependent damage of soft materials with bond breaking and healing kinetics · Cornell

Lost to a baseline

Gaussian Process surrogate underperformed GradientBoosting during Bayesian optimization, dipping below p=0.05 around iteration 50.

Data-Driven Design of Recycling-Friendly Aluminium Alloys · MIT

Lost to a baseline

Radial basis function (RBF) surrogate outperformed Gaussian process regression on the 6-dimensional OTL circuit benchmark function

RETROSPECTIVE AND EXPLORATORY ANALYSES FOR ENHANCING THE SAFETY OF ROTORCRAFT OPERATIONS · Georgia Tech

Lost to a baseline

Physics-informed Bayesian neural network surrogate models outperformed Gaussian processes with handcrafted kernels on Bayesian optimization tasks for scientific problems.

Interpretable Physics-informed Machine Learning Methods for Scientific Modeling and Data Analysis · MIT

Lost to a baseline

On the 2D Schaffer function at n = 1000, the scaled stationary Vecchia GP (GP SVEC) surpassed the 2-layer DGP with Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (DGP HMC) on RMSE/CRPS due to blurry inducing point approximations in DGP HMC.

Deep Gaussian Process Surrogates for Computer Experiments · Virginia Tech

Considered and rejected

Considered and rejected: Rejected Gaussian Process regression as the Bayesian optimization surrogate due to high dimensionality (208 features) and lack of prior distribution knowledge, replacing it with deep ensemble MLPs.

Machine learning powered insights into metamaterial prediction and design · OpenBU

Considered and rejected

Considered and rejected: Rejected Gaussian Process Bayesian Optimization due to O(n^3) matrix inversion scaling, adopting neural network heteroscedastic surrogate models instead.

Surrogate Modeling for Semiconductor Packaging and Systems Using Machine Learning · Georgia Tech

Considered and rejected

Considered and rejected: Rejected non-modular unified GP surrogate model for multi-agent planning due to curse of dimensionality causing the model to learn only subset of constraints.

Multi-fidelity Optimal Trajectory Generation: Optimal Experiment Design for Robot Learning · MIT

Considered and rejected

Considered and rejected: Rejected non-parametric RBF kernels with tunable hyperparameters for low-fidelity surrogate modeling in MF-MBAS because hyperparameter optimization scales poorly with increasing input dimensionality.

Reduced-Order Modeling Techniques for Aircraft Design in High-Dimensional Spaces · Georgia Tech

Reduced-order models fail to capture nonlinear kinematics and complex physical structures

17 theses · 5 institutions

Projection-based and reduced-order formulations fail to capture sharp shock fronts, high-wavenumber modes, membrane stretching, and preloaded contact forces. Simplifying physical models by omitting time delays, structural properties, or higher modes produces artificial stiffening, numerical singularities, and constraint violations.

Tried and failed

enforcing dissipativity constraints in reduced-order models applied to turbulent flow simulation. Outcome: worse than baseline. Reason: the constraints caused excessive overdamping in higher-dimensional model subspaces

Data-Driven Variational Multiscale Reduced Order Modeling of Turbulent Flows · Virginia Tech

Tried and failed

spatial commutation error closure modeling applied to reduced order models of turbulent flow. Outcome: no signal. Reason: inclusion of the commutation error model did not noticeably change or improve model accuracy

Data-Driven Variational Multiscale Reduced Order Modeling of Turbulent Flows · Virginia Tech

Tried and failed

first-order finite element reduced order modeling applied to stress-constrained topology optimization. Outcome: did not generalise. Reason: First-order elements underestimated peak stresses, leading to designs that violated constraints under higher-order validation.

Topology optimization and uncertainty quantification using component-wise reduced order modeling · UT Austin

Tried and failed

adding spanwise dimensions to reduced-order model applied to shock boundary layer interaction modeling. Outcome: worse than baseline. Reason: introduced chaotic noise without improving prediction accuracy

Simulation of Coupled Conjugate Heat Transfer and Nonequilibrium Boundary Layer Dynamics in High-Speed Flow Environments · Georgia Tech

Tried and failed

Proper orthogonal decomposition reduced order modeling applied to multiphase fluid flow in porous media. Outcome: did not generalise. Reason: POD fails to capture non-smooth behaviors and sharp propagating shock fronts in advection-dominated problems

Simulation of geothermal reservoirs with data assimilation and reduced order modelling · Imperial

Tried and failed

vorticity-streamfunction reduced-order modeling via SVD applied to distorted internal duct flows. Outcome: did not generalise. Reason: Inadequate modeling of viscous effects and increased vorticity causes failure to capture high-wavenumber flow modes.

Comparative Evaluation of Vorticity Transport Modeled Distortions and High-Fidelity ANSYS Solutions Using Modal Assurance Criterion · Virginia Tech

Considered and rejected

Considered and rejected: Rejected intrusive POD-Galerkin reduced order modeling for two-phase water/air flows due to insurmountable numerical instabilities and 4th-order tensor construction bottlenecks

Multi-scale multi-fidelity numerical modelling of wave energy converter farms · IRIS - POLITO - prod

Tried and failed

Proper orthogonal decomposition without difference quotients applied to time-dependent reduced order modeling. Outcome: worse than baseline. Reason: Pointwise-in-time projection and error bounds degrade with temporal discretization refinement factor

Numerical Analysis for Data-Driven Reduced Order Model Closures · Virginia Tech

Tried and failed

unstructured model reduction on second-order systems applied to second-order mechanical systems. Outcome: worse than baseline. Reason: ignoring internal physical structure missed critical frequency response peaks and reduced accuracy

Dimension Reduction in Structured Dynamical Systems: Optimal-𝓗<sub>2</sub> Approximation, Data-Driven Balancing, and Real-Time Monitoring · Virginia Tech

Tried and failed

modal derivatives in reduced order modelling applied to geometrically nonlinear structural dynamics. Outcome: unstable. Reason: produces unphysical singularities at 1:1 modal frequency ratios without genuine internal resonance

Reduced order modelling of large finite element structures with geometric and contact nonlinearities: application to blade-casing interaction in aircraft engines · Imperial

Tried and failed

recursive least squares reduced-order system identification applied to time-varying higher-order dynamic systems. Outcome: did not converge. Reason: model order mismatch prevented accurate parameter tracking during dynamic parameter variations despite working for static parameters

An improved algorithm for identification of time varying parameters using recursive digital techniques · Virginia Tech

Tried and failed

subspace state-space system identification with high model order applied to reduced-order modal dynamics modeling. Outcome: overfit. Reason: setting model order much higher than true mode count caused parameter explosion and negative fit metrics

Reconstruction and forecasting of the unsteady flow around a surface-mounted obstacle from sparse measurements · Imperial

Tried and failed

component mode synthesis without preloaded contact forces applied to constrained non-linear structural dynamics. Outcome: worse than baseline. Reason: omitting static preload contact forces creates an inaccurate reduced stiffness matrix and inaccurate displacement predictions

Structural Dynamics Design of Steam Turbine Blades with Friction Contacts for Renewable Energy · IRIS - POLITO - prod

Tried and failed

linear modal projection reduced-order modeling applied to geometrically nonlinear structural dynamics. Outcome: did not converge. Reason: linear eigenmodes miss membrane stretching and Poisson contraction, causing artificial over-stiffening without high-frequency modes

Computational nonlinear vibration analysis for distributed geometrical nonlinearities in structural dynamics · Imperial

Lost to a baseline

Lumped Element Model (LEM) overestimates effective stiffness and resonant frequency compared to the Stiffness Matrix Method (SMM) due to perturbation approximations of mass loading.

STL NEMS fabrication, design, and inspection · Imperial

Lost to a baseline

Single-mode approximation underestimates the nonlinear reduction/stiffening in beam response compared to multi-mode formulations.

Nonlinear stochastic vibration in geometrically varying beams · Virginia Tech

Considered and rejected

Considered and rejected: Balanced truncation for model order reduction: rejected because resulting reduced states represent energy coordinates rather than physically meaningful rotorcraft states

Model-Based Life Extending Control for Rotorcraft · Georgia Tech

Considered and rejected

Considered and rejected: Eliminating time-delays in the reduced model by setting Tξ={0} and Tu={0}, rejected because reducing infinite-dimensional systems to finite-dimensional ones alters specific dynamical stability properties.

Interconnection-based model order reduction for quadratic-bilinear systems · Imperial

Surrogate training and inference overheads eliminate expected computational savings

11 theses · 7 institutions

Complex machine learning surrogates and active learning schemes often incur high training, inference, and retraining runtimes that negate any speedup relative to full numerical solvers. Global surrogate construction also becomes computationally intractable in high-dimensional design spaces due to exponential data requirements.

Tried and failed

global generative surrogate optimization with neural networks applied to high-dimensional simulation-based design optimization. Outcome: infeasible cost. Reason: exponentially increasing simulation data requirements in higher dimensions caused by the curse of dimensionality

Optimisation of the SHiP Beam Dump Facility with generative surrogate models · Imperial

Considered and rejected

Considered and rejected: Decided against direct global surrogate modeling (e.g., Gaussian processes, kriging, or deep neural networks) across the full input space due to the curse of dimensionality over thousands of stochastic healthcare parameters.

Data-Driven Decision Analytics in Complex Systems: Information Infrastructure, Problem Decomposition, and Algorithmic Design · Georgia Tech

Tried and failed

surrogate-based multirate partitioning with projection applied to reaction-diffusion partial differential equations. Outcome: too slow. Reason: Surrogate evaluations and projection overheads exceeded full model evaluation costs, eliminating error reduction gains.

Multimethods for the Efficient Solution of Multiscale Differential Equations · Virginia Tech

Tried and failed

neural network surrogates in constrained Bayesian optimization applied to benchmark function optimization. Outcome: too slow. Reason: Deep surrogate models incur substantially higher training and inference overhead compared to standard Gaussian processes

Bayesian Optimization for Engineering Design and Quality Control of Manufacturing Systems · Virginia Tech

Tried and failed

surrogate guidance in both exploration and exploitation applied to high-dimensional simulation-based optimization. Outcome: infeasible cost. Reason: Negligible performance improvement over exploration-only surrogate guidance despite an extreme increase in computational runtime.

Exploration and Exploitation Techniques for High-Dimensional Simulation-Based Optimization Problems in Urban Transportation · MIT

Tried and failed

Pre-trained convolutional neural networks applied to spatial grid risk estimation surrogate modeling. Outcome: too slow. Reason: Excessive computational overhead without improving prediction accuracy compared to simpler architectures

An Approach for Risk-Informed UAS Mission Planning in Urban Environments to Support First Responders · Georgia Tech

Tried and failed

active learning with variance-based acquisition applied to Gaussian process surrogate modeling. Outcome: too slow. Reason: frequent retraining overhead negated sampling efficiency, underperforming random sampling for fast simulations

Time-dependent damage of soft materials with bond breaking and healing kinetics · Cornell

Tried and failed

surrogate modeling of localized failure criteria applied to multi-fidelity composite structural optimization. Outcome: unstable. Reason: mesh-dependent local response discontinuities and excessive computational post-processing time prevented effective surrogate training

Multi-fidelity probabilistic optimisation of composite structures · Imperial

Lost to a baseline

For simple uniaxial deformation paths, the DL surrogate model provided little to no computational speedup compared to standard numerical constitutive integration.

Deep learning informed multiphysics material modeling of fiber reinforced polymer nanocomposites · Leibniz Universität Hannover Repository

Lost to a baseline

1D-CNN surrogate in ISOP+ incurred higher inference runtime compared to earlier MLP/XGBoost baseline in ISOP due to CNN computational complexity

Machine learning-driven design automation for high-frequency circuits and packaging · UT Austin

Considered and rejected

Considered and rejected: Rejected purely data-driven interpolation-based surrogates for high-resolution (1km) climate modeling in favor of a hierarchical parametrization approach due to computational expense and failure to generalize/respect physical constraints.

Deep Learning Emulators for Accessible Climate Projections · MIT

Neural networks and complex surrogates degrade under training instability and scarce data

10 theses · 7 institutions

Neural networks and data-driven surrogates experience severe accuracy loss and chaotic divergence when trained on scarce simulation datasets or across long time horizons. Complex nonlinear surrogate formulations and field models frequently underperform simpler scalar baselines or fail to translate predictive accuracy into optimization gains.

Tried and failed

approximate deconvolution reduced order modeling applied to lid-driven cavity flow. Outcome: did not converge. Reason: chaotic trajectory divergence over long training time intervals deteriorated verifiability rate

Filtering and Domain Decomposition Techniques for Intrusive and Non-intrusive Reduced Order Models of Convection-Dominated Problems · Virginia Tech

Tried and failed

support vector regression surrogate modeling applied to reactor multiphysics simulation dataset. Outcome: worse than baseline. Reason: systematically underperformed and unable to accurately capture complex variations in the dataset

Development of Coupled Machine Learning and Optimization Framework for Comprehensive Molten Salt Reactor Design · Georgia Tech

Tried and failed

Augmenting surrogate training data with line search evaluations applied to global surrogate model training. Outcome: worse than baseline. Reason: Adding intermediate line search points degraded surrogate model accuracy compared to using only structured gradient samples

Optimal sample set selection for the simplex gradient · Imperial

Tried and failed

field surrogate using reduced-order modeling applied to spatial dynamic state surrogate estimation. Outcome: worse than baseline. Reason: lower goodness-of-fit compared to scalar surrogate counterparts

Uncertainty-Based Methodology for the Development of Space Domain Awareness Architectures in Three-Body Regimes · Georgia Tech

Tried and failed

recurrent and time-delay neural networks applied to aerodynamic time-series surrogate modeling. Outcome: worse than baseline. Reason: training sensitivity caused recurrent architectures to underperform simpler feedforward networks on time-series data

A Controller Development Methodology Incorporating Unsteady, Coupled Aerodynamics and Flight Control Modeling for Atmospheric Entry Vehicles · Georgia Tech

Tried and failed

Artificial neural networks for surrogate modeling applied to aerodynamic design optimization. Outcome: data insufficient. Reason: Severe accuracy degradation and unreliable gradients when trained on scarce high-fidelity simulation datasets

Nacelle aerodynamic design and optimisation · Cranfield

Lost to a baseline

SIMO (using simple linear Theodorsen model) outperformed IMO (using the complex nonlinear modified Goman-Khrabrov surrogate model) in LDVM lift regulation.

Modeling and Control of Wing Maneuvers in Transverse Gust Encounters · DSpace at SUNY Buffalo

Lost to a baseline

Recursive virial force prediction by the neural network surrogate had an average error (e.g., 344 for Fyy) exceeding the ground truth standard deviation (152), performing worse than a baseline predicting the mean value.

Wear across scales · EPFL

Tried and failed

surrogate model predictive accuracy for optimization applied to configurable software performance optimization. Outcome: no signal. Reason: lower prediction error on surrogate performance models did not correlate with final optimization solution quality

Finding near-optimal configurations in colossal product spaces of highly configurable systems · UT Austin

Tried and failed

surrogate modeling with IDW and RBF applied to scenario-based optimization under uncertainty. Outcome: worse than baseline. Reason: underperformed across metrics and failed beta stability stopping criteria

Decision support methodology for waste-to-value process integration · EPFL

Linear and low-degree polynomial surrogates fail to capture nonlinear simulation responses

7 theses · 6 institutions

Linear and low-order polynomial response surfaces lack the capacity to represent complex nonlinear couplings and parameter variances across physical simulations. These simplified metamodels consistently underestimate extreme outputs, leading to high ranking errors and constraint violations during optimization.

Tried and failed

low-order polynomial surrogate modeling applied to nonlinear aerodynamic force and moment prediction. Reason: insufficient polynomial degree to capture complex nonlinear aeropropulsive coupling

Hybrid Automaton Based Nominal and Contingency Planning for an Over-Actuated Tandem Tiltwing eVTOL Aircraft · Georgia Tech

Tried and failed

linear regression metamodeling of simulation outputs applied to manufacturing assembly time surrogate modeling. Outcome: did not generalise. Reason: linear models could not capture non-linear simulation dynamics, consistently underestimating completion times

Enhancing the decision making capabilities of discrete event simulation using optimisation and visualisation. · Cranfield

Tried and failed

multiple linear regression surrogate modeling applied to building daylight and energy simulation metrics. Outcome: worse than baseline. Reason: severe non-linear relationships in climate-based daylight and operational energy metrics

An explorative method to support design decisions based on carbon constraints and daylight sufficiency needs · EPFL

Tried and failed

simple linear regression surrogate modeling applied to parameter mapping for response spectrum statistics. Outcome: worse than baseline. Reason: failed to capture nonlinear variance across periods accurately compared to Gaussian process regression

Utility of Stochastic and Physics-Based Ground Motion Simulations in Addressing Data Limitations · Texas Tech

Lost to a baseline

Least-squares and sparse least-squares (L1-regularized) polynomial surrogate models underperformed HierGP despite utilizing identical perfectly specified bases.

Three Essays of Bayesian Inference on Dynamical System, Continuous Time Markov Chain, and Low Dimensional Structure · DukeSpace

Considered and rejected

Considered and rejected: Rejected linear regression (LR) and polynomial regression (PR) as surrogate models for the simulation-based optimization problem due to low accuracy and high ranking errors.

On traffic state estimation and control in the world of connected vehicles · UT Austin

Considered and rejected

Considered and rejected: Rejected third-order polynomial surrogate models for estimating optimization variables in favor of second-order response surface equations due to poorer fits

Methodological Improvements for the Integration of Spacecraft Trajectory Optimization into Conceptual Space Mission Design · Georgia Tech

Multi-fidelity surrogates break down due to poor correlation across fidelity levels

5 theses · 3 institutions

Multi-fidelity surrogates fail to improve accuracy or reduce costs when low-fidelity approximations fail to correlate with high-fidelity targets. Linear discrepancy models and empirical corrections in low-fidelity data introduce bias and inaccurate gradient estimates that provide no advantage over single-fidelity baselines.

Tried and failed

multi-fidelity kriging with semi-empirical low-fidelity models applied to aerodynamic drag polar surrogate modeling. Outcome: worse than baseline. Reason: linearized low-fidelity source with empirical corrections failed to provide correlated information to improve high-fidelity emulation

A Methodology for Design Space Exploration of Novel Supersonic Aircraft Using High-Fidelity Aerodynamic Analysis · Georgia Tech

Tried and failed

multifidelity multi-objective optimization with additive Kriging applied to aerodynamic high-lift device design. Outcome: worse than baseline. Reason: poor correlation between low- and high-fidelity models for lift-to-drag ratio undermined surrogate accuracy

Multifidelity multiobjective trust-region-based optimisation for high-lift devices. PhD in Aerospace · Cranfield

Tried and failed

multi-fidelity active subspaces with RBF surrogates applied to high-dimensional aerodynamic field prediction. Outcome: worse than baseline. Reason: linear discrepancy and low-fidelity surrogates failed at accurate gradient estimation in high dimensions

Reduced-Order Modeling Techniques for Aircraft Design in High-Dimensional Spaces · Georgia Tech

Tried and failed

multi-fidelity surrogate modeling applied to aerodynamic design optimization. Outcome: worse than baseline. Reason: provided no performance gain over single-fidelity surrogate models under fixed computational budget constraints

Nacelle aerodynamic design and optimisation · Cranfield

Tried and failed

surrogate modeling coupled with spatial regression applied to aerodynamic uncertainty quantification. Outcome: did not generalise. Reason: Sparse training sets caused severe bias and poor conservativeness without multi-fidelity corrections.

Development and Use of a Spatially Accurate Polynomial Chaos Method for Aerospace Applications · Virginia Tech

Left open by the authors

Problems the authors named and did not get to.

Left open

Implement the reduced-order polymer model within CFD solvers to simulate non-uniform flows and flow-induced crystallization. Blocker: Lack of specific benchmark geometries, flow conditions, and precise coupling equations for crystallization

Model reduction for driven PDEs: Application to polymer constitutive equations · University of Nottingham Repository

Left open

Implement a machine learning surrogate model (CFD/ANN) for pedestrian wind comfort analysis in early architectural design. Blocker: Lacks specific implementation details, target CFD simulation parameters, and dataset definition beyond a conceptual thought experiment

Simulation? Machine Learning? Simulation X Machine Learning?: A decision system for research integrating building physic simulation and machine learning methods in the early design · Harvard

Left open

Apply space-time refinement jump snapshot-selection to classical POD reduced-order models for multiphase flow and compare performance against deep-learning ROMs. Blocker: None

Development and optimization of a deep-learning reduced-order model for multiphase flow · UT Austin

Left open

Evaluate the vorticity transport reduced order model on flow cases with distinct, characterizable viscous contributions against high-fidelity simulations. Blocker: None

Comparative Evaluation of Vorticity Transport Modeled Distortions and High-Fidelity ANSYS Solutions Using Modal Assurance Criterion · Virginia Tech

Left open

Develop a unified reduced order modeling framework combining geometric and contact nonlinearities for structural dynamics simulations. Blocker: The task is described only as a general direction without a defined technical formulation or concrete target.

Reduced order modelling of large finite element structures with geometric and contact nonlinearities: application to blade-casing interaction in aircraft engines · Imperial

Left open

Investigate reduced-order parameter identification during parameter variations using recursive weighted least squares conditioning algorithms. Blocker: Lack of specific criteria, reduced-order models, or clear experimental targets.

An improved algorithm for identification of time varying parameters using recursive digital techniques · Virginia Tech

Left open

Integrate aerodynamic and mechanical performance metrics, including kinematic wing membrane constraints, into the graphic statics surrogate model. Blocker: Lack of specific mathematical formulation, targets, or methodology for modeling membrane kinematics with graphic statics

Geometry And Topology: Building Machine Learning Surrogate Models With Graphic Statics Method · Penn

Left open

Extend surrogate uncertainty quantification to include input, process, and material uncertainties, scaling to multi-physics process-structure-property-performance modeling in additive manufacturing. Blocker: Lacks specific implementation details, mathematical formulation, and proprietary training data/multi-physics simulation models from the thesis

Smart Quality Assurance System for Additive Manufacturing using Data-driven based Parameter-Signature-Quality Framework · Virginia Tech

Left open

Generate surrogate training data using parabolized stability equations to incorporate nonparallel and nonlinear effects into boundary-layer transition models. Blocker: None

Machine Learning Approaches to Data-Driven Transition Modeling · Virginia Tech

Left open

Develop discontinuous surrogate models to fit cohesive envelope properties directly from empirical data. Blocker: Lacks specific target envelope definitions and empirical dataset specifications

Analytical and computational methods for non-Gaussian reliability analysis of nonlinear systems operating in stochastic environments · MIT

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